Subject: Is CBRE Group (CBRE) on the Verge of a Breakout?

 

Terrys Tips newsletter
     

Dear Friend,

This week we are looking at another of the Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 List companies.  We use this list in one of our options portfolios to spot outperforming stocks and place option spreads that take advantage of the momentum.

Terry 

 
Option Tip of the Week
Is CBRE Group (CBRE) on the Verge of a Breakout?

According to the following article, CBRE is one of the two most actively traded stocks in the Property Management industry. Further, out of the two, they believe it offers better value - CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) and Fortive Corporation (FTV) Go Head-to-head. While CBRE’s stock price came under a bit of pressure following its latest earnings report, there were some positive takeaways from it. The main one being an upgrade in earnings per share estimates among analysts. Full details can be found here - CBRE Group, Inc. Third-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here’s What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

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Technicals

CBRE’s stock price is trading in an ascending triangle which is considered a continuation pattern. The price reaction from the company's recent earnings report was not positive, however, the decline was brief and well supported by the 100-day moving average. More importantly, the stock has since recovered to nearly fully erase the loss which is a sign of strength. These things combined offer a bullish signal and if the stock breaks above triangle resistance around $56, it could enter into a technical breakout.

 CBRE Chart November 2019

*source Tradingview.com

If you agree there's further upside ahead for CBRE, consider this trade which is a bet that the stock will continue to advance over the next six weeks, or at least not decline very much.

Buy To Open CBRE 20DEC19 50 Puts (CBRE191220P50)

Sell To Open CBRE 20DEC19 55 Puts (CBRE191220P55) for a credit of $1.18 (selling a vertical)

This price was $0.02 less than the mid-point of the option spread when CBRE was trading near $55.  Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close to this amount.

Your commission on this trade will only be $1.30 per spread.  Each contract would then yield $116.70 and your broker would charge a $500 maintenance fee, making your investment $383.30 ($500 – $116.70).  If CBRE closes at any price above $55 on December 20, both options would expire worthless, and your return on the spread would be 30% (262% annualized).

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Changes to Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) Top 50 This Week:

IBD Underlying Updates November 9, 2019

We have found that the Investor’s Business Daily Top 50 List has been a reliable source of stocks that are likely to move higher in the short run.  Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock.

As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose.

Happy trading,

Terry

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Any questions?   I would love to hear from you by email (terry@terrystips.com), or if you would like to talk to our guy Seth, give him a jingle at 800-803-4595 and either ask him your question(s) or give him your thoughts. seth@terrystips.com

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I look forward to having you on board, and to prospering with you.

Terry
 

 

    
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You must use this link to sign up - open thinkorswim account – and once you have funded your account with at least $3500, email Seth@TerrysTips.com and let him know that you have done it. We will then sign you up for our Premium Service package ($119.95 value plus an extra 4 months of our Premium Service, valued at another $190.80).  You get $300.65 worth of services without paying us one penny.

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Sincerely,
Dr. Terry Allen
Terry's Tips

 
 
Week 563

November 11, 2019
 
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