Subject: Dreams of a Singapore Style Britain Offer Fantasy Island ...

View this email online if it doesn't display correctly
                                                                                                   Saturday 30th January 2021
Hi Friend,
Dreams of A Singapore Style Britain  ...
Offer Fantasy Island ...
Hopes that Britain might become the "Singapore of Europe" took a setback this week. A wave of reality swept over the beaches. Regaining sovereignty and taking back control, almost led to an EU blockade of vaccines to Northern Ireland.

Free movement of goods has already meant the confiscation of cheese and ham sandwiches of luckless lorry drivers entering the port of Antwerp. Fears are rising, the Douaniers across from Dover may be scoffing the plunder. The Department of International Trade has advised the "Lighthouse Keeper's Lunch" Defence. Two packedd lunches, one hidden under the dashboard, the other heavily smeared with English mustard, the solution.

Boris Johnson has resurrected the idea of the Singapore of Europe, as a future template for businesses in Britain. We will break free from the restrictions and regulations within the EU and set Britain on a new path to prosperity. Lower taxes will herald the move.

Rishi Sunak has been charged with task of leading a cross-Whitehall committee to examine which regulations may be reformed. The Chancellor will also chair a cabinet committee, focused on cutting red tape. Many will be surprised there is any red tape left, so much must have been cut in the past.

In 2014, Sajid Javid as the new business secretary, eliminated 3,000 pieces of regulation in the "Red Tape Challenge". Simplification, rationalization, consolidation became the mantra. Many were already redundant. Businesses heaved a sigh of relief as "Trading with the Enemy" orders were eliminated, dating from 1943, 1944 and 1945.

In 2021, business leaders from the CBI, the Chambers of Commerce and the IOD have made it clear there is no demand, for mass deregulation. No requirement either, for a reduction in employment standards and work force protection. There is little or no evidence that lower regulations will boost trade especially within the EU.

Singapore has a top tax rate of 22% compared to 45% in the UK. The Corporation tax rate in the UK is already par at 17%. Hopes for tax reductions seem way off. The government deficit is heading towards £400 billion this year.

Jonathan Portes, Professor of Economics at Kings College, London, suggests the idea that Singapore as a model for the UK is mostly froth. Singapore spends just 14% of GDP on public services, half as much as the UK on public health services. There is little appetite, for cuts to public services, to finance tax cuts. Little appetite amongst business for structural adjustments to essential regulation.

"Dreams of a Singapore-style Britain should be derided as fantasy". George Osborne's "march of the makers, rebuilding the workshop of the world" had more legs but not for long.

This week, Priti Patel the Home Secretary suggested overseas travel should be made illegal. Government Trips to "Fantasy Island" should be on the travel ban list ...
President Xi warns of confrontation...
Speaking at Davos this week, remotely of course, President Xi warned of confrontation, advising cooperation, as the way forward in dealing with China.

Beijing's envoy to Washington has already made it clear, the US and China should work as competitors in commerce, not rivals in geopolitics.

Former Chinese Vice President Zeng Peiyan, has urged Biden to meet halfway to restore trust. "Confrontation between the two global powers is not inevitable. China has no intention of changing the US or replacing it. The US will be unable to change China as it sees fit."

"The two sides should work together to abolish trade tariffs and remove corporate restrictions on companies in the US and China. It is time for cooperation and global leadership on pandemic control and climate change. The drift to a cold war mentality should be avoided. The drift into the Thucydides trap is not inevitable."

The world awaits the change in stance from the Biden administration. The White Houses has announced trade policy with China is one of many items under review. Tariffs on trade have cost American jobs, increased prices and reduced National Income. The mantra should be co-operation and co-opetition to ensure both economies move forward together.

China is now a more important link globally than at the onset of the Trump administration. It was the only major economy to experience growth last year. The IMF is forecasting growth of 8% in the current year. It will overtake the US as the largest economy in the world by the end of the decade. It has already overtaken the US, as the largest destination for foreign direct investment,

Biden's commerce secretary Gina Raimondo has promised a tough line on China. The US is seeking to restore closer links with Japan and South Korea. Uncle Sam continues to flirt with Taiwan. Encirclement in the South China Sea would indeed be a ring of fire for the mainland.

Soft overtures from Beijing coincide with increased military action in the mountain border with India. Simulated attacks by Chinese warships on aircraft carriers and bomber flybys across the straits of Taiwan are  staged.

The world awaits the hoped for change in stance from the Biden administration. Restoring military exercises with South Korea is not the ideal response ...

That's all for this week, stay safe, hands, face and space ...

John
© 2021 John Ashcroft, Economics, Strategy and Financial Markets, experience worth sharing.
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
The material is based upon information which we consider to be reliable but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. We accept no liability for errors, or omissions of opinion or fact. In particular, no reliance should be placed on the comments on trends in financial markets. The receipt of this email should not be construed as the giving of advice relating to finance or investment.

______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
If you do not wish to receive any further Saturday Economist updates, you can unsubscribe or update your details, using the buttons below or drop me an email at jkaonline@me.com. If you enjoy the content, why not forward to a friend, they can sign up here ...
_______________________________________________________________________________________
We have updated our privacy policy to address Europe's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). The policy changes include explaining in more detail how we use your information, including your choices, rights, and controls. We have published a GDPR compliance page about the regulation and the steps we have taken as part of our compliance process. Your privacy is important to us.
For details of our Privacy Policy   and our Terms and Conditions check out our main web site. John Ashcroft and Company.com
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Copyright © 2020 The Saturday Economist, All rights reserved. You are receiving this email as a member of the Saturday Economist Mailing List or the Dimensions of Strategy List. You may have joined the list from Linkedin, Facebook, Google+ or one of the related web sites. You may have attended one of our economics presentations. Our mailing address is: The Saturday Economist, Tower 12, Spinningfields, Manchester, M3 3BZ, United Kingdom.
LikeTwitterPinterestGooglePlusLinkedInForward
Tower 12, Bridge Street, M3 3BZ, Manchester, United Kingdom
You may unsubscribe or change your contact details at any time.