Subject: 8-11-16 Tokyo Signals + Daily Recap
EURUSD
Buy 1.1150 SL 1.1132 TP1 1.1164 TP2 1.1175
Sell 1.1122 SL 1.1140 TP1 1.1108 TP2 1.1097
EURJPY
Buy 113.78 SL 113.46 TP1 114.03 TP2 114.22
Sell 113.28 SL 113.60 TP1 113.04 TP2 112.84
USDJPY
Buy 102.20 SL 101.87 TP1 102.46 TP2 102.66
Sell 101.68 SL 102.01 TP1 101.43 TP2 101.22
GBPUSD
Buy 1.2976 SL 1.2947 TP1 1.2999 TP2 1.3017
Sell 1.2930 SL 1.2959 TP1 1.2907 TP2 1.2889
CADJPY
Buy 78.60 SL 78.40 TP1 78.78 TP2 78.89
Sell 78.28 SL 78.48 TP1 78.10 TP2 77.99
NEWS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
Thu Aug 11
6:30pm NZD Business NZ Manufacturing Index 57.7
6:45pm NZD Retail Sales q/q 1.0% 0.8%
NZD Core Retail Sales q/q 1.1% 1.0%
10:00pm CNY Industrial Production y/y 6.2% 6.2%
CNY Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y 8.9% 9.0%
CNY Retail Sales y/y 10.5% 10.6%
Fri Aug 12
2:00am EUR German Prelim GDP q/q 0.3% 0.7%
EUR German Final CPI m/m 0.3% 0.3%
EUR German WPI m/m 0.3% 0.6%
2:45am EUR French Prelim Non-Farm Payrolls q/q 0.2% 0.3%
4:00am EUR Italian Prelim GDP q/q 0.2% 0.3%
4:30am GBP Construction Output m/m 0.9% -2.1%
5:00am EUR Flash GDP q/q 0.3% 0.3%
EUR Industrial Production m/m 0.6% -1.2%
8:30am USD Core Retail Sales m/m 0.2% 0.7%
USD PPI m/m 0.1% 0.5%
USD Retail Sales m/m 0.4% 0.6%
USD Core PPI m/m 0.2% 0.4%
9:30am GBP CB Leading Index m/m -0.2%
10:00am USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 91.5 90.0
USD Business Inventories m/m 0.1% 0.2%
USD Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations 2.7%
13th-15th CNY Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y 5.1%
DAILY RECAP
USDJPY Buy -32 Sell NT
EURUSD Buy -12 Sell +17 (+10 TP1)
EURJPY Buy -22 Sell b/e (+16 TP1)
GBPUSD Buy NT Sell b/e (+19 TP1)
CADJPY Buy -14 Sell -14
One win (17) = + 17, minus five losses (32 + 12 + 22 + 14 + 14) = - 94, for a net loss of - 77 pips. TP1 picked up three wins (10 + 16 + 19) = + 45, for a net loss of - 49 pips.
Day: -77 pips
Week: +141 pips
Month: +123 pips
So the longest trade since we ever started finally managed to break through TP1 and get us to b/e on the trade, but that was as far as it went and we stopped out at b/e earlier today (+22 TP1).
As for the rest of the trades, the session was about as bad as I imagined it would be, but the overall damage wasn’t that bad, courtesy of some pretty small stops.
So we go into this last session of the month with a Friday trading session, in August (when most traders are gone on vacation), with a mediocre (at best) news lineup of reports that for the most part have not been helpful in the past, with a balance of +123 pips. Given the big moves we saw near the end of today’s session, our targets will undoubtedly be larger tonight, which means another 5 loser session could and probably will wipe out our profits on the month.
I’ve gone through the news pretty closely, looking for reasons to put up any of the five pairs tonight and can’t find a single one. Nor can I find a reason to not put up the pairs either. Since fortune favors the bold, or however that quote reads, I am going to put up all five pairs and hope we see some more price action like we saw over the last few hours.
Since we are going into another Friday session, please remember to pull off all trades, executed, pending or open, prior to the close of the markets for the weekend.
See you back here Sunday afternoon with the new signals.