Subject: 7-21-15 Tokyo Signals + Daily Recap
EURUSD
BUY 1.0954 SL 1.0930 TP1 1.0975 TP2 1.0987
SELL 1.0916 SL 1.0940 TP1 1.0896 TP2 1.0883
EURJPY
BUY 135.78 SL 135.35 TP1 136.13 TP2 136.40
SELL 135.10 SL 135.53 TP1 134.76 TP2 134.48
USDJPY
BUY 124.06 SL 123.83 TP1 124.24 TP2 124.38
SELL 123.70 SL 123.93 TP1 123.52 TP2 123.38
GBPUSD
BUY 1.5568 SL 1.5549 TP1 1.5584 TP2 1.5596
SELL 1.5538 SL 1.5557 TP1 1.5525 TP2 1.5510
NEWS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
Tue Jul 21
8:30pm AUD MI Leading Index m/m -0.1%
9:30pm AUD CPI q/q 0.8% 0.2%
AUD Trimmed Mean CPI q/q 0.6% 0.6%
11:05pm AUD RBA Gov Stevens Speaks
Wed Jul 22
12:30am JPY All Industries Activity m/m -0.5% 0.1%
4:30am GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 0-0-9 0-0-9
GBP MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes 0-0-9 0-0-9
5:00am EUR Italian Retail Sales m/m 0.1% 0.7%
9:00am USD HPI m/m 0.5% 0.3%
10:00am USD Existing Home Sales 5.40M 5.35M
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.7M -4.3M
Daily Recap
Kind of an ordinary average day we just experienced. 4 wins, 3 NTs and 2 losers, both coming from our pal the GBPUSD.
Start with the USDJPY. This pair gapped down pretty significantly at the open and immediately began moving back up right at 5 p.m. eastern. By the time I got the signals transcribed and submitted through the various channels I use, price had already breached the Buy price (or was just a pip or two away). If you used the EA to handle the trades, you should have gotten in 2 hours later on a Limit order when price moved down just a bit below 124.27. But after that, it was a solid grind up through TP2 for +17. TP1 took off +9. I thought that would be it for the UJ but a surprise move to the downside blew through our Sell entry and continued on past TP2 as well, netting us an additional +18 (+10 for TP1). So we netted a total of +35 on the UJ (+19 for TP1).
No real surprises on the URUSD overnight. Price stayed within the boundaries of the two entries, coming close to the Sell by a couple of pips but not triggering any trades. Price finally broke out of the range to the upside and moved steadily up the rest of the day, passing TP2 by 100 pips. We got +27 on that one, with TP1 taking down +15.
EURJPY followed the same path as the EU, except it bumped up into a Buy in the second hour and then spent several hours hanging around just above the entry before finally taking off at the same time as the EU and never looking back. TP2 was worth +34 and TP1 +19.
And then we get to the GBPUSD. I am really starting to get sick and tired of this pair. WE were at +96 on the day without the GBP. With the GBP and its double loser day, it stayed inside about a 60 pip range, venturing out just long and far enough to trigger both trades before scampering back over the respective SLs. -28 x 2 = -56.
So we ended up +30 on the day and are at +74 on the week. Because of the miserable performance last week we are at +35 on the month (basically 2 days into the second week, so no biggie). TP1 traders made +53 but lost -56 on GBP so they ended the day at -3.
I got a couple of emails regarding the GBPUSD and whether I thought we should eliminate it from the mix. I remind everyone that the month prior to us getting these signals going out to everyone, the GBPUSD brought down something like +670 pips on the month, which represented more than 33% of the overall profit for that month. It’s in a slump at the moment (5+ weeks and counting) but when it wakes up we’ll be glad to knock down the +50 pip trades we see on a regular basis from the GBP.
A reminder that this week is an abysmal week for economic news (see the very short list of reports coming out over the next 24 hours). The GBP does figure prominently into tonight’s news, so don’t be too quick to turn your back on tonight’s numbers. But overall I am not expecting much either way, and if we can repeat today’s performance tomorrow (minus the help from the GBP) I will be a happy camper.