Subject: Smallcap Discoveries: Weekly Update: May 29 - June 2

May 29 - June 2

Market Commentary

Markets

With the concerns over the US debt ceiling now behind us markets ended the week with considerable strength. The Dow gained 701 points (2.1%) on Friday Nasdaq closed at a new 52 week high on Friday.

For the week the DOW was up 2.0%, Nasdaq was higher by 2.0% and the TSX closed the week up by 0.5%. Now the markets can go back to worrying about earnings and the direction of inflation and interest rates.


Financials

The recent up move in the US dollar paused this past week. Stronger than expected US labour data battled against the relief of a settlement over the debt ceiling.

Interest rates moved in parallel to the US dollar having paused after sizable gains since the start of May. 

Following treasury yields in the US Canadian bond yields have climbed and have been putting pressure on Canadian fixed mortgage rates. The yield on the Canada 5 year bond has climbed almost 60 basis points since the start of May.

Commodities

Gold was slightly higher on the week closing at $1969.60 per ounce.

The resolution of the US debt ceiling concerns and the resultant slight drop in bond yields and US dollar allowed most metal commodities to finish the week higher than where prices began the week. 


It was another quiet week for energy prices. This weekend, however, OPEC+ announced that it will extend its previously announced production cuts and WTI now trades around $73.53 up $1.79 per barrel.

Baker Hughes drill data continues to show a decline in active drill rigs in North America. This week we saw a drop of 5 net rigs, down by 15 in the US and up by 10 rigs in Canada.


Stocks

The past few weeks have been strong for the larger stocks. Investors have been diving back into big tech. Apple (AAPL) was back into new 52 week high territory. And along with a number of other large, well known tech names helped the US tech sector gain over 8% in the month of May.

AI continues to be the big buzzword and driver of another wave of tech buying. Like many waves before it, this one is seeing more and more companies trying to jump on the AI bandwagon and try to claim their share of investor attention.


Trading volumes in the microcap sector have been anemic of late, however, Friday’s trading seemed to have spiked higher giving some beleaguered micro and nanocaps a bit of a pulse.


One of our “Takeover” list stocks had a great week. Not on news of a takeover but the news of a big jump in the company’s backlog. ADF Group (DRX.T), which we highlighted back in on December 28, 2022, at $2.09. The stock of fabricator and installer of heavy steel structures saw its shares climb 20% on the week and is now up 44% since making our list. 

Another name from our “Takeover” list burst out to reach new multi year highs. IBEX Technologies (IBT.V) reached $1.00 on above average volume. I couldn’t find any news to drive the renewed interest.

On Monday, Total Telcom (TTZ.V) (another “Takeover” list stock) released Q3 results. Revenues were up 13% over the year ago period and operating income was up 203%. The recent announcement of an additional RV controller order should position the company for more revenue improvement. The stock has pulled back just below $0.30 closing at $0.29 and right back into my buy zone.

The “takeover” list stocks have performed quite well so far this year. The shares of the 8 companies are up an average 35.6% so far with one company, Circa Enterprises (CTO.T) having been bought out at a 87.6% premium to our inclusion price.

Other Stuff

We are always trying to find investing opportunities that have risk and reward skewed in our favour. Many believe that to get high rewards in investing you need to take on high risk. And for a long time, I believed this to be true. However, as I gained experience, mostly through trial and error, I came to find that high rewards do not have to come by taking on increased risk. In fact, it’s the opposite. Lowering your risk can actually increase your reward if you know how to do it and where to look.


I believe the best insurance against loss in the stock market is to buy when things are cheap. What I mean by buying cheap is to buy with a defined margin of safety. That might mean buying below cash value, it might mean at a lower PE value than its peers, it might mean a low PEG ratio or maybe all of the above. It might also mean when it is undiscovered.


Many investors believe microcaps are riskier than large caps. As a whole, they are. So many microcaps are nothing more than speculative investments with unproven management, unproven business plans burning lots of cash. But within the group are some great businesses that will, in time, turn into large caps. Remember every large cap was once a small or microcap.


Many times, what you pay for an investment is more important than what you buy. You can lose a lot of money by buying an overpriced large cap. According to Howard Marks “It's not what you buy, it's what you pay. And success in investing doesn't come from buying good things, but from buying things well. And if you don't know the difference, you're in the wrong business.”


Buying microcaps well, before the crowds find them, when they are too small for analysts and institutions is one way to give yourself an additional margin of safety. It can decrease your risk while increasing the potential upside of when everyone else finds out about it and clamors to buy the stock.


You can buy a great performing large cap at an inflated price and still lose money. If everyone knows about the company, it’s hard to gain that margin of safety. But those little, obscure companies that are quietly growing their businesses and away from the eyes of the crowds can give you that extra edge and price protection but also give you that explosive potential upside when the crowds do find it.


If you can learn to buy microcaps “well” you can dramatically skew the risk/reward in your favor.


SCD Investors Conference

The list of companies confirmed to present at our October 11 conference continues to increase. Here’s the list so far:

  • Atlas Engineered Products – AEP..V

  • BeWhere Holdings - BEW.V

  • Enterprise Group - E.T

  • Sabio Holdings - SBIO.V

  • Char Technologies - YES.V

  • Kits Eyecare - KITS.T

  • Imaflex - IFX.V

  • McCoy Global - MCB.T

  • Zedcor - ZDC.V

  • Canadabis Capital - CANB.V

  • Grey Wolf Animal Health - WOLF.V

  • Data Communications Management - DCM.T

  • Firan Technology Group - FTG.T

  • Ceapro CZO.V

  • Fab-Form Industries FBF.V

  • iFabric - IFA.T

 

This week’s reading: King of Capital, Inside the Trillion Dollar Private Equity Industry That Owns Everything.

 

To your wealth,

Paul and Trevor

Buys and Sells This Week

No new buys or sells this week.

Smallcap Discoveries


Select Portfolio

NameSilo Technologies (CSE: URL) Price - $0.135 Market Cap - $12.5M


AirIQ (TSX.V: IQ) Price - $0.30 Market Cap - $9M


ImmunoPrecise Antibodies (NASDAQ: IPA) Price - $3.13 Market Cap - $78M


BeWhere Holdings (TSX.V: BEW) Price - $0.195 Market Cap - $17M


CanadaBis Capital (TSX.V: CANB) Price - $0.22 Market Cap - $30M

Smallcap Discoveries


Select Watchlist

Imaflex (TSX.V: IFX) Price - $1.25 Market Cap - $65M


ADF Group (TSX: DRX) Price - $3.01 Market Cap - $55M


Kraken Robotics (TSX: PNG) Price - $0.54 Market Cap - $111M


NTG Clarity Networks (TSX.V: NCI) Price - $0.03 Market Cap - $4.4M


Sparta Capital (TSX.V: SAY) Price - $0.04 Market Cap - $9.3M


ZTest Electronics (TSX.V: ZTE) Price - $0.06 Market Cap - $1.6M

  • Reported Q1 Financials

  • Revenue of $1.59M

  • Gross profit of $553K

  • Operating income of $341K

  • Net income of $191K


California Nanotechnologies (TSX.V: CNO) Price - $0.16 Market Cap - $5M


Char Technologies (TSX.V: YES) Price - $0.70 Market Cap - $58.5M


Firan Technology Groups (TSX: FTG) Price - $3.31 Market Cap - $79M


Company Interviews & Updates

Upcoming

Topic: Leveljump Healthcare (TSX.V: JUMP) Interview with CEO Mitch Geisler

Time: Jun 8, 2023 01:15 PM Vancouver


Join Zoom Meeting

https://us02web.zoom.us/j/82438435932?pwd=OUFzdUpGTG9xQmx5Q3N1U2ZFNTFRUT09


Meeting ID: 824 3843 5932

Passcode: 564119

Recent

If you missed the last email, or need access to any Smallcap Discoveries tools, be sure to check out the website

Don't forget to follow us on social media!

We support the West Coast Kids Cancer Foundation


https://www.wckfoundation.ca/


Powered by:
GetResponse