Subject: Smallcap Discoveries: Weekly Update: May 2 - 6

May 2 - 6

Market Commentary

Another crazy volatile week in the markets. 


Nasdaq closed down 1.5% for the week yet saw a swing from high to low of over 8% before closing at its lowest level in 17 months. The DOW was lower by only 0.2% and the TSX was off by 0.6%. Nasdaq is now down 25% from its high. But look a little deeper and the numbers are considerably worse. Many well known names have been really beat up. Here is a list of +$2 billion companies that are down by 75% or more from their highs.

Take a look at these names. Most of these were once market darlings. It reminds me of the Dot.com boom and bust. 

CNBC broadcast their "Markets in Turmoil" segment this past week on Thursday night. This "indicator" has an unbelievable track record..... 


Let's see if they can keep their streak alive!



Markets are clearly predicting a rough time ahead for the economy. Higher rates will slow things down and we are already starting to see some signs of weakening demand in certain sectors. Used cars for example have seen some softening, the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index, which tracks prices of used vehicles sold at its U.S. wholesale auctions, declined 1% in April from March, marking the third straight month of declines from the first month of the year.


Energy prices continue to climb. Oil prices strengthen this week as we saw WTI oil briefly trade above $110 before settling the week around $109 per barrel. Natural gas traded above $9.00 for a short period and has set new multi year highs once again.

And if you think we have high energy prices right now check out what one trader is expected for energy prices. Samantha LaDuc sees oil hitting $160 this summer and $260 within a year. https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20220506158/this-trader-predicted-the-bond-meltdown-tech-selloff-and-oils-surge-heres-what-she-says-is-coming-next


She's not the only one thinking we are in for extremely tight markets for energy. Many are expecting the result of almost 10 years of low reserve development will lead to all time record prices for oil, natural gas and coal. It's all about supply and demand. Demand continues to grow and now supply will have to catch up if we want to see and relief in prices. Remember all the headlines and talking heads proclaiming the death of the fossil fuel industry? Those investors that understood the data and positioned themselves properly are now reaping the investment rewards and likely will for many more years.


And speaking of supply and demand.... As a director of Atlas Engineered Products, I've been having quite a few conversations about interest rates, housing and what could happen in the Canadian construction industry. It is to be expected that higher rates will dampen sales and prices. House prices in most Canadian cities seemed to have defied gravity for as long as most people can remember. I do expect prices will soften but I don't think we will see strong price declines like many are predicting. There is just too much of a shortage of housing units and we continue to struggle in keeping up with household formation and immigration. The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation has reported that "Supply is the biggest issue affecting housing affordability in Canada". https://financialpost.com/news/economy/supply-is-the-biggest-issue-affecting-housing-affordability-in-canada-cmhc-finds


According to Bob Schickedanz, president of the Ontario Home Builders’ Association, said the new home construction industry faces challenges including access to land, labour, infrastructure, and supplies. “The province anticipates 2.27 million more people to call Ontario home in the next ten years and it’s an economic and social imperative that we have the resources, and development approvals system in place which is needed to construct at least one million homes in the next decade to meet this anticipated demand,” he said.


As investors it's important that we look at and understand the data. Go past the headlines and dig deeper.

Buys and Sells This Week

No buys or sells this past week

Smallcap Discoveries


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Namesilo Technologies (CSE: URL) Price - $0.17 Market Cap - $16M

Smallcap Discoveries


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Ackroo (TSX.V: AKR) Price - $0.0585 Market Cap - $10M


Aequus Pharmaceuticals (TSX.V: AQS) Price - $0.065 Market Cap - $8.6M


Cematrix (TSX.V: CVX) Price - $0.27 Market Cap - $36M


Circa Enterprises (TSX.V: CTO) Price - $1.35 Market Cap - $14M


Data Communications Management (TSX: DCM) Price - $1.29 Market Cap - $57M


Deveron Corp (TSX.V: FARM) Price - $0.415 Market Cap - $44.5M


Katipult Technology (TSX.V: FUND) Price - $0.11 Market Cap - $8M


Lingo Media (TSX.V: LM) Price - $0.095 Market Cap - $3.3M


Evergreen (TSX.V: TNA) Price - $0.37 Market Cap - $46M

  • Q4 Revenue of $13M

  • Q4 Net income $3M

  • FY Revenue of $45.3M

  • FY Gross profit of $8.7M

  • FY Net income $6.65M

Company Interviews & Updates

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Topic: Free-For-All: Thursday May 12, 2022

Time: May 12, 2022 01:15 PM Vancouver


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