Subject: Smallcap Discoveries: Weekly Update: June 6 - 10

June 6 - 10

Market Commentary

Inflation


The much-awaited May Consumer Price Index data was released on Friday and it came in scorching hot. The index rose by a higher than expected 8.6% on annual basis, the highest reading in 40 years. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors, and this puts additional pressure on the US Fed to raise rates further and faster and adds more pressure to the Biden administration.  

Markets immediately reacted sharply to the downside and finished the day near the lows of the day. The Dow was lower on Friday by 880 points or 2.7%, Nasdaq was lower 414 points or 3.5% and the TSX was lower by 289 points or 1.4%. For the week the Dow was down 4.6%, Nasdaq was lower by 5.6% and the TSX was lower by 2.5%. Markets continue to price in higher interest rates and a possible slowing in the economy. 

I expect we will see lower lows for the major indexes as the US Fed, The ECB and other countries fight inflationary pressures through higher interest rates and a shrinking of their balance sheets. Both the World Bank and the OECD lowered their global growth forecasts. Keep in mind though that the markets are forward looking and are doing their best to price in future events. The question we must continue to ask ourselves is how much future tightening and economic slowdown is priced in to the markets?  


Energy


Energy continues to be one of the very few bright spots. WTI closed the week at $120.7 up slightly from last week's $120.26 close. Natural gas jumped by $0.31 to close at $8.85. I continue to believe that we will see big moves in this space and likely this bull market ends in a euphoric parabolic blow off top. I still think this is at least a few years away but the recent spike in a large number of the energy stocks I follow make me think that it might be wise to take some profits. I'm bullish energy but it seems like everyone else is bullish right now too (except perhaps Cathie Woods). Even Jim Cramer is now on the oil bandwagon and stated this week “I want to be kind to this market and tell you it’s the same old buy the dips game plan. But in reality, the only dip that can be bought right now, at least, is the dip in oil,”


Usually that means the trade is overcrowded and needs to let off some steam.

The energy service names are still lagging the overall energy sector, especially the very small names. I've been adding small amounts of Enterprise Group this past week and expect to continue to do so under $0.40. There is a significant seller which is helping to keep a bit of a lid on the stock and I'm happy to accumulate a little more for now. I expect we will see strong numbers when they report Q2 as the sector continues to benefit from strong demand and very strong pricing.


One of favorite energy service companies, Bri-Chem had a good week closing at its 4-year high. BRY.T is up 290% since it made our latest Cheapies With a Chance list January 22, 2022. I think the company is very well positioned to benefit from the very strong growth in drilling in North America. The Baker Hughes drilling rig data continues to show very strong demand. The US/Canada rig count jumped by 30 this past week. In Canada alone the rig count climbed by 20.5% as crews try to make up for lost time after the spring road ban. Drillers are busy and will likely get a lot busier.


The energy trade continues to look like the only game in town but we have to be careful for some sharp pullbacks and we need to be selective and keep some powder dry. There should be plenty of opportunities over the coming years.


Life Science


It's too early for most other sectors but the one I'm watching the closest right now is the life science space. It's been one of the most beat up group of stocks and still hasn't shown any real signs yet that it has found its bottom. While we are seeing some acquisition in the space it still seems to be very correlated to the Nasdaq market. But I do think there is value to be had and I'm hopeful that we start to see some of the smaller names make some of our screens. The one that has perked my interest recently is Ceapro, (CZO.V). It's a "Canadian biotechnology company involved in the development of proprietary extraction technology and the application of this technology to the production of extracts and active ingredients from oats and other renewable plant resources." The company released impressive Q1 results. Revenues jumped 31% and net income jumped 288%. The stock now trades at roughly 11.3 times its trailing 12-month earnings. There are not very many biotech stocks that trade with that low of a PE multiple.


Much like we saw late last year with the energy service companies. We've taken a small position in the company and will be looking for reasons to add. So, while we use a bottom-up approach to stock selecting, we like it when a stock we find starts to correlate with our top-down thesis. Expect to hear more from us on this name.


Hopefully, it's a very early sign that we may see a bit more bullish moves in the sector.


And now for something completely different.


Coming soon to a farm near you....


Cow and sheep burps to be taxed by New Zealand in world first

Buys and Sells This Week

Sold Betapro Nasdaq-100 2X Bear ETF (HQD.T) @ $8.30

Bought Enterprise Group (E.T) $0.375

Smallcap Discoveries


Select Portfolio

Medexus Pharmaceuticals (TSX: MDP) Price - $2.13 Market Cap - $42.5M

Smallcap Discoveries


Select Watchlist

Ackroo (TSX.V: AKR) Price - $0.08 Market Cap - $9M


AirIQ (TSX.V: IQ) Price - $0.295 Market Cap - $9M


BIOREM (TSX.V: BRM) Price - $0.88 Market Cap - $34M


Gatekeeper Systems (TSX.V: GSI) Price - $0.415 Market Cap - $38M


Snipp Interactive (TSX.V: SPN) Price - $0.145 Market Cap - $41M


IBEX Technologies (TSX.V: IBT) Price - $0.51 Market Cap - $12.6M

Company Interviews & Updates

Upcoming

Topic: CES Energy Solutions Corp (TSX: CEU) Interview with CFO Anthony Aulicino

Time: Jun 14, 2022 01:15 PM Vancouver


Join Zoom Meeting

https://us02web.zoom.us/j/84984705016?pwd=SzJHTktLZ1VRdnRtdjQ4SjZxQUVCdz09


Meeting ID: 849 8470 5016

Passcode: 228586


Topic: CWC Energy Services (TSX.V: CWC) Interview with CEO Duncan Au

Time: Jun 15, 2022 01:15 PM Vancouver


Join Zoom Meeting

https://us02web.zoom.us/j/83316302302?pwd=SzRJMEZweVk0YzQ4V2tzT3FYRHB6dz09


Meeting ID: 833 1630 2302

Passcode: 155323


Topic: Grown Rogue (CSE:GRIN) interview with CEO Obie Strickler

Time: Jun 16, 2022 01:15 PM Vancouver


Join Zoom Meeting

https://us02web.zoom.us/j/82670665487?pwd=d0R0T0pYQzl6bFpsV2RXa3FjK1BsQT09


Meeting ID: 826 7066 5487

Passcode: 406547

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