Subject: Smallcap Discoveries: Weekly Update: April 15 - 19

Weekly Update: April 15 - 19

Market Commentary

Markets

Geopolitics, big tech earnings and weakness in AI stocks were the market drivers this past week. Nasdaq took the brunt of the pain as market darlings such as Nvidia (NVDA) and Super Micro Computers (SMCI) had sizable drops. Many other tech and AI related companies got swept lower along with these recent market leaders.

The DOW had already seen a greater than 5% correction from its recent highs and now the Nasdaq index has caught up have its greater than 5% correction all in one week.

The DOW finished the week mostly unchanged while Nasdaq was lower by 5.5% and the TSX slid 0.4%. This is the first correction of more than 5% the markets have seen since October and has been long overdue.

Financials

Many investors are having to change their expectations for interest rates and push out the idea of an early rate cut in the US. A more bearish sentiment on bonds may be exactly what the market needs to see yields top out but in the short term at least it looks like the path of least resistance for US treasury yields is higher.

And with higher US treasury yields comes a higher US dollar. The US dollar index is back within spitting distance of its 52 week high and as with yields, the path of least resistance in the short term seems to be higher.

Canadian bond yields were firm but mostly flat over the week. The Canadian budget wasn’t enough to change investors’ moods and the Canada 5-year bond yield is holding to a tight range around 3.75%.

Commodities

Gold is consolidating very nicely around the $2400 level. The precious metal has had a very strong 2024 and has been impressively strong of late despite higher interest rates and a higher US dollar.

WTI oil, despite growing tensions in the Middle East, reversed its recent trend higher and close the week lower by over $3 per barrel.

Natural gas, which was a major concern during the start of the Ukraine conflict, continues to see depressed prices. North American natural gas prices are solidly below $2 and what was once considered a contributor to higher inflation fears seems to be no longer a concern.

Stocks

For an extended period of time I kept scratching my head wondering how high some of these big tech names could keep climbing with many valuations somewhat defying common sense. Well, to some degree some of the market darlings came back a bit closer to earth last week. Nvidia, which has been the most talked about company for the past 18 months sent shivers through the Nasdaq market as it dropped by 10% on Friday and is now down roughly 22% from its all-time highs it reached a month ago. The domino effect impacted a whole bunch of other AI related names, and it now has some investors re-assessing their views of the sector. Nvidia, like a lot of big tech names was priced for perfection.


When things are priced for perfection, meaning every positive possible outcome is priced into the stock, you don’t need a lot of things to go wrong for the stock to see a sharp drop in price. The reverse is true for stocks that are extremely mispriced to the downside, you don’t need a lot of things to go right for cheap stocks to move higher. It’s a reason to try and reflect on the sentiment for a stock or sector and of course how well known or “discovered” a stock might be.


It's why I have been so bullish on profitable and growing microcaps and generally negative on the big well known names. These smaller companies continue to offer better value in my opinion, although many have had meteoric increases in shares price over the past year.

This week we had a shorter list of companies reaching their 52-week highs. Once again ADF Group makes the list along with other SCD favorites, Atlas Engineered Products (AEP.V), Biorem (BRM.V) and Thermal Energy (TMG.V).


This week we had year end results from long time SCD favourite BeWhere Holdings (BEW.V). The company delivered solid numbers with revenues for the full year up 20% and Q4 results 41% higher than last year. A good jump in hardware sales in Q4 bodes well for higher recurring revenues as the company sells hardware at no/low profit to capture very high margin recurring data revenues. The stock has seen a pretty impressive run leading up these numbers which were needed to justify the current valuation. We won’t have to wait too long to see what Q1 holds in store. I like how BeWhere continues to execute and I’m likely a buyer on any dips below $0.40.


Next week will be a busy week for year end results as we get the last of all the companies with a Dec 31 year end. We are always hopeful that a new company pops onto our watch list as we continue to flip over rocks looking for new gems.

 

To your wealth,

Paul and Trevor


*Go Canucks Go!

Buys and Sells This Week

This Week’s Buys and Sells

I added a small amount of Biorem (BRM.V) at $1.99

Smallcap Discoveries


Select SEDAR+ Weekly Highlights

Telescope Innovations (CSE: TELI) Price - $0.35 Market Cap - $19M

RX BioSyent (TSX.V: RX) Price - $8.59 Market Cap - $102M

Char Technologies (TSX.V: YES) Price - $0.40 Market Cap - $40M

Kraken Robotics (TSX.V: PNG) Price - $0.96 Market Cap - $199M

BeWhere Holdings (TSX.V: BEW) Price - $0.395 Market Cap - $35M

  • BeWhere Holdings Inc Reports 2023 Fiscal Year-end Results

  • Q4 Revenue of $3.2M

  • Q4 Gross profit of $1.24M

  • Q4 Adj. EBITDA of $371K

  • Q4 Net income of $94K

  • Q4 Recurring revenue of $1.33M

  • FY Revenue of $12M

  • FY Gross profit of $4.63M

  • FY Adj. EBITDA of $1.38M

  • FY Net income of $600K

  • FY Recurring revenues of $5M

Omni-Lite Industries (TSX.V: OML) Price - $0.87 Market Cap - $13.5M

C-Com Satellite (TSX.V: CMI) Price - $1.22 Market Cap - $51.5M

Titan Logix (TSX.V: TLA) Price - $0.50 Market Cap - $14M

Snipp Interactive (TSX.V: SPN) Price - $0.12 Market Cap - $34M

INEO Tech (TSX.V: INEO) Price - $0.125 Market Cap - $9.5M

Enterprise Group (TSX: E) Price - $1.08 Market Cap - $63M

Water Ways Technologies (TSX.V: WWT) Price - $0.03 Market Cap - $4.5M

NextLeaf Solutions (CSE: OILS) Price - $0.135 Market Cap - $21.5M

Company Interviews, Updates & Free-For-Alls

This Week Schedule. * All FFA's happen after the video interviews/updates every Thursday. Use the same link for access to the FFA.

Topic: BeWhere Holdings (TSX.V: BEW) Update with CEO Owen Moore

Time: Apr 24, 2024 01:15 PM Vancouver


Join Zoom Meeting

https://us02web.zoom.us/j/87976920365?pwd=T3BnNjdUVlhzVUNLYUF2QWtMVTU3QT09


Meeting ID: 879 7692 0365

Passcode: 350686



Topic: Deveron Corp (TSX.V: FARM) Update with David MacMillan

Time: Apr 25, 2024 01:15 PM Vancouver


Join Zoom Meeting

https://us02web.zoom.us/j/86230946614?pwd=Q2hNM0RSbURjQk95MDE3dkV6TE5OQT09


Meeting ID: 862 3094 6614

Passcode: 282867

Recent

If you missed the last email, or need access to any Smallcap Discoveries tools, be sure to check out the website

Don't forget to follow us on social media!

We support the West Coast Kids Cancer Foundation


https://www.wckfoundation.ca/


Powered by:
GetResponse