Subject: Smallcap Discoveries: Biorem: Transforming Environmental Sustainability Through Innovative Waste Remediation

Biorem: Transforming Environmental Sustainability Through Innovative Waste Remediation

Biorem Inc 
TSX.V: BRM / PINK: BIRMF

Company website: https://www.biorem.biz/
Ticker: BRM-TSX.V – BIRMF-Pinks
Current Price: $1.07
52 Week Hi/Low: $1.10 - $0.81

Average Daily Volume (3-month): 7,354K
Issued and Outstanding:
15,697,437
Options: 3,635,000 (*NIL Warrants)
Fully Diluted: 19,332,437
Current Price: $1.07
Market Capitalization: $16.8 million
Insider Ownership: 2% - 299,370 (*2.71M MGMT Options in-the-money)
TTM Earnings: ($638,108)
TTM Revenues: $23.86 million
TTM Adj. EBITDA: $1.5 million
EV/Adj. EBITDA: 11x
P/E: 25.5x

P/S: 0.70x
Debt: $3.1 million
Cash: $2.38 million
Last Financing: 2012 - $1.03 million convertible debenture

Highlights
  • Biorem has shown some good underlying growth despite a down sales year in 2023 as backlog has hit an all time high of $54.5m with $8.2m of new orders in Q3 2023 (a $32.8m annual pace).
  • Their new products are getting traction, highlighted by its dry scrubber technology.
  • The company’s primary markets have a number of tailwinds behind them.
  • Although on the surface the current valuation metrics may not be cheap, even a reversion to 2022 sales levels will improve these substantially
    Award-winning products offering high return on investment.
  • Great share structure, with less than 16 million issued and outstanding, and hasn't raised capital since 2012.
  • Low insider ownership.
  • Strong shareholder base.
  • Undiscovered.

What is Biorem?

Biorem is a nano-cap cleantech company based in Guelph, Ontario, Canada that utilizes advanced technology biofilters to remove odors, volatile organic compounds, hazardous air pollutants and conditioning for biogas renewable energy. The company was founded in 1990 and has now grown to 50 employees with distribution in 23 countries on every continent, primarily in North America but also in China, the Middle East, the Americas, and South Africa.

Biorem began with a business focused on bioremediation (thus the name Biorem), but there was not enough work to sustain a full-time operation, so they expanded into finding solutions to air pollution. This led to a specialization in biological media that address air quality, odour, and emissions. Biorem does the engineering, development, manufacturing, distribution, and setup of its products, along with performance monitoring, and after sale service. They utilize sub-contractors for some field work. Like many businesses, Biorem has a diverse global supply chain. There was a lot of dependence on China in their supply chain previously but with the difficulties associated with COVID along with some previous performance issues, the company has done some re-shoring in its supply chain.

Biorem has done over 1,800 installations in its history with its current annual rate running at between 75 and 100 projects per year. Their customer base covers municipal wastewater treatment plants, industrial applications (i.e. pet food, chemicals, agri-business etc.), solid waste management (i.e. recycling centres) and renewable energy (i.e biomass). Most of Biorem’s work comes from being part of larger bids for projects; according to management they have had a 38 to 46% win-rate over the last 12 years. The project size can vary from $50k to $6m in size but the average is around $350 to $400k. The nature of infrastructure projects gives Biorem good financial visibility.

Biorem has diversified into some physical solutions, with the introduction of its dry scrubbers product. Development of new products has taken Biorem between 3 and 5 years, so to see its new tech already generating revenue, most notably with a $5.5m initial order from the city of Toronto, is a good affirmation for its business development.

Industry / Market Overview

The rise of the climate change / environmentalism movement in the developed world has led to a lot of interest into solutions to addressing the environmental impact. This has led to anti-pollution and environmental solutions being more incorporated into all parts of the economy. Biorem management has estimated that the overall growth in odour control at between 4% and 7% CAGR, with the NA market estimated to grow to $1.6B by 2027 and the global market at $7.6B by 2027. As countries begin to become more developed, an emerging middle class has historically demanded cleaner air and water which makes the global market potentially much more lucrative going forward as more countries become developed. The offset to this is that there is a slow adoption curve for clean technologies as companies and governments take time to accept new technologies.

There is also an increasing proliferation of large-scale government programs being enacted in western economies, most notably in the US with the Inflation Reduction Act. Increased levels of immigration is taking place in these same economies, all of which require infrastructure to support it. These same markets are also requiring this infrastructure to be “green” in nature, providing a good tailwind for clean tech. There has not been much evidence of government austerity in recent decades which makes infrastructure a very steady market for companies bidding on government work.


Competition

There are a number of small clean tech companies around the world that are involved in a similar type business to Biorem, according to Zoominfo. The largest of these competitors would be Montair Process Technology BV, based in the Netherlands, who have a similar revenue profile to Biorem’s. It would seem to be a very fragmented industry, which is supported by Biorem’s decent win rate in its bidding processes.

Management / Board

Biorem’s management is structured with four key employees denoted on its website: CEO Derek Webb, CFO Douglas Newman, a Director of Operations focused on project management and a Director of Technical Services providing engineering, production, and procurement. With only 50 employees, it makes sense to have a lean management group.

This extends to the Board of Directors which only has three members. CEO Derek Webb serves as management’s voice on the Board. William White is a former president of Dupont Canada which brings a lot of expertise in industrials. Finally, Alex Gill brings a lot of experience dealing with governments, which are the key customer base for Biorem. Webb has indicated the company would consider expanding the Board when it finds a requirement to do so but Biorem’s management has a strong tendency towards fiscal discipline and capital allocation.

Webb owns 299,370 shares or 2% of the company but both he and CFO Douglas Newman have some very large option grants outstanding that are all in the money at the current share price which further invests them in the success of the company.

A great example of this was Biorem’s decision to buyback the stake of its formerly majority shareholder TPFG in late 2021. TPFG had invested into Biorem in 2017, taking a 60% stake in the company. However, by 2020, TPFG was starting to have some financial difficulties which could have started to impact Biorem’s business. In a win-win deal, TPFG agreed to be bought out by Biorem at $0.52 a share which gave TPFG liquidity and Biorem more control over its business. With shares now at $1.07, it has proven to be a good investment by Biorem management.

Next Steps

Management has set a goal to double its profitability in 3 years, while maintaining cost parity despite the widespread inflation being seen in most capital heavy industries. Biorem also has a goal to be debt free in the same period. Management retired $1.2m of its debt in the first 9 months of 2023, leaving it with $3.1m outstanding. This debt was taken as part of the above share buyback transaction and is at a 4.07% interest rate.

Management his indicated that it intends to pursue both organic and inorganic goals to achieve its growth. Inorganically, Biorem is looking at M&A involving companies with complementary technology, new geographic coverage, and potential business synergies. They have reviewed several candidates over the last few years and have reduced it down to a pool of companies to have deeper discussions with.

Organically, the company’s biological business is in good shape, while its physical business like the dry scrubbers is starting to establish itself. The company is going to continue developing physical products while also looking at new markets such as chemicals as well. Biorem wants to increase its service revenue which is more recurring in nature, whether it is after sales, consumables, or servicing. In recent years, it has gone from just $300k per year to reaching $6m in 2022 ($3m being an outlier order but still a tenfold increase) which will help to offset some of the volatility to its revenues.
Valuation

The company’s price to sales level is very low for a tech company that is producing profitable results. This would be even higher if we look at the change in Backlog over the last year which increased by $11.5m in the last 12 months. Add this change to the actual booked revenue and the company added $35.4m in orders in the last year which is a much better growth rate than the revenue numbers have.

We do not have to go too far back to see the benefits of higher revenue rates. In 2022, Biorem did revenues of $28.9m which gave an earnings level of $1.6m (or $0.05/share) and EBITDA of $2.4m. The extra $5m in revenue added $1.0m in earnings and $0.9m in EBITDA. Assuming a similar increment of profitability as this so that orders start to match revenues and the company’s multiples begin to look very inexpensive with Price/Ebitda being 5x and Price/earnings being 6.5x. This is assuming that the backlog begins to release, and the company can meet this elevated level of business.

Catalysts

In the short term, the two key catalysts will be a bounce back in financial results in 2023 and 2024. 2023 has seen a drop in revenues but this has more to do with delays with some of its projects that were beyond their control as well as some larger one-time bid wins in prior years. The rising backlog backs this up as well as the higher order levels than revenue. If the company can keep its costs in line, some scaling benefits should enable this to occur.

M&A could also prove to be a catalyst for share price movement. Management is aware that this is something that can get investor attention which Biorem struggles with due to its small outstanding share level as well as its status as a nano-cap. Management has a good history of fiscal prudence and capital allocation which should give investors some faith that they will not just do a deal to do a deal. Webb has stated that any deal they do will need to be immediately accretive to earnings. The company’s fiscal health gives Biorem a longer runway to find a deal that will benefit shareholders.

Risks

No investment is without risk. Infrastructure may provide some good fiscal visibility and has a lot less volatility than other industries, but there are some pitfalls. There is a large increase in costs which could become pressured, especially in the case of fixed price tenders. There is also a lot that Biorem cannot control because they are at the mercy of the overall project timelines, not just their own portion of the project.

Clean tech also has a very slow adoption curve in general, meaning that business performance can take much longer than current investor sentiment has patience for. This creates an investor fatigue which is hard to reverse.
Lastly, Biorem’s small share count and market cap will also be a risk because they are a long way from getting onto institutional investor radar.

Final Thoughts

Biorem Inc. is a fat pitch.

This one reminds us a lot of Thermal Energy (TMG.V) when we "rediscovered" the company back in September 2023. Much like Thermal Energy, Biorem has been handcuffed by factors (project delays) that were out of their control and now seem to be back on track and very likely to execute on the record backlog of business.

While the company has returned to profitability in the recent quarter we expect the next few quarters could be exceptional and if so, the company's shares will look exceedingly cheap at current levels. Biorem is far off the radar screen of the institional buyer and we view the company as being very early in the discovery cycle and see potential for significant growth in revenues and earnings and growth in valuation metrics.

We own share, are buyers, and consider it a strong buy up to $1.25. Long Biorem (TSX.V: BRM).

To your wealth,

Paul and Trevor


We are going to host a Free-For-All: January, 24, 2023, tomorrow to discuss the idea. Join us at the below link:

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