Last year unions won 75% of all elections held, tying the top win rate since we’ve been tracking. In 1995 unions won only 49% of elections. Management campaign activities are supposedly so out of hand that a free and fair election is impossible – yet unions keep increasing their win percentage year after year. How can those two things be true at the same time? The answer is obvious, they can’t.
Instead, the problem is the same problem it’s been for decades: unions just don’t deliver what they promise. And once employees understand that they just aren’t interested in organizing. The BLS explains part of the problem in its press release on the new numbers:
“Union membership data for 2021 continue to reflect the impact on the labor market of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Comparisons with union membership measures for 2020, including metrics such as the union membership rate and median usual weekly earnings, should be interpreted with caution. The onset of the pandemic in 2020 led to an increase in the unionization rate due to a disproportionately large decline in the number of nonunion workers compared with the decline in the number of union members. The decrease in the rate in 2021 reflects a large gain in the number of nonunion workers and a decrease in the number of union workers.”
Basically, the release is saying that during the great resignation of 2021, a lot of union members chose to move out of union jobs and into non-union ones.
Hold on, you might ask, don’t union members make a lot more money than non-union workers? The BLS release suggests union members make nearly $200 per week more than non-union ones. But even BLS explains its number must be taken with a grain of salt. They don’t account for differences in industry or geography, for example.
A better way to look at these numbers is using census data from the Current Population Survey and the best place to see that is at Barry Hirsch and David Macpherson’s Unionstats.com. Here you can drill down to wage differences by industry, for example. Look at manufacturing and retail, for example. The 2020 numbers show that non-union retail workers make $1.97 per hour more than union members. And that is before dues. If you figure dues at 1.5% of pay (they can be less or more, but that’s a good average) the wage gap grows to $2.27 per hour, or more than $4,700 per year.
Non-union manufacturing workers make $3.52 per hour more than union members. If you deduct union dues the manufacturing union represented wage gap grows to $3.95 per hour, or more than $8,200 per year!
And as BLS states, this isn’t accounting for factors like unionized workers are more likely to live in high cost of living areas (the highest union densities are in places like New York, California, and Hawaii). This skews the union wages higher than they would be if you are comparing similarly situated workers.
The bottom line is that unions don’t deliver what they promise. And while worker leverage has never been higher, using that leverage has never required a union. It looks like today’s workers understand that. While they like the idea of a union, once they get into the actual mechanics of turning over their voice and power to one, it seems pretty antiquated. It seems that way because it is.