Hello Friend
5.10 Ascot Kashgar
Ideal Cond. 16-30 days rest; Good to Firm, Good, Good To Soft Form in Cond. 3,1,1,4,2,1,3,1, 7,5,6
Positives. He is now 4/12, 7 places in this rest pattern as opposed to 1/16, 4 places at all other times. All race conditions fine and he has dropped quite a way in the weights.
Negatives. Well he appears to have lost his way and isn't in much form at all really. Also 0/3, 0 places when 22/1 above.
My Verdict: 1/2 point EW 40/1 (betbright), 33/1 general. While I think winning this looks tough, given his mark etc it is not impossible that he could grab a place which would pay well at the 1/4 odds. Of course he could also continue his recent poor form.
*** No others running today.
*** Josh |