2.40 Kempton The Lanzarote Hurdle
13/199, 45p
13/13 had 0-1 handicap hurdle wins (2+ : 0/52, 10p)
13/13 had no more than 2 hurdles wins to name (3+ : 0/80. 14p)
-12/13 had 2 wins only (0-1: 1/54, 9p)
13/13 placed at least once last two starts (did not: 0/55, 5p)
13/13 were moving in class from last start (were not: 0/27, 3p)
12/13 wore no tongue tie (did: 1/39, 7p)
12/13 had 0-1 handicap wins (2+ : 1/71, 14p)
Trainers
N Williams: 3/5, 3p
N Henderson: 3/19, 6p
P Nicholls: 2/15,7p
X1: V Williams, J Candlish, A Turnell, E Lavelle, B Case
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Applying the trends…
The first three 13/13 stats above would point to 13/13 (13/82, 26p, +102 BSP), and if upholding would point to a long list of nine…
Green Glory, Outlaw Peter, West Balboa, Dubrovnik Harry, Petite Tonnerre, Scarface, Rathmacknee, Hermes Boy, Whizz Kid
Within that list, those with 2 hurdle wins only has been the sweetspot, (12/13) and IF upholding, would point to just four…
Outlaw Peter, Scarface, Rathmacknee, Whizz Kid
Applying all six stats/trends pointers above would point to 11/13 (11/50, 19p, +97 BSP) and if upholding would point to four…
Green Glory, West Balboa, Rathmacknee, Hermes Boy
Trainers (to have won race/with runners)
-Outlaw Peter, Red Risk
-Cobblers Dream (last year’s winner)
-Rathmacknee, Pentland Hills
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That's all for today, hopefully The Lanzarote winner is mentioned above somewhere and you land on them!
I'm about to start staring at tomorrow's races, inc the Classic Chase, and pull together a preview for Kaleb's owners, and maybe a 'through the card'. Time allowing I'll try and send something of use in the morning before heading to Kempton,
All the best,
Josh
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