Subject: New blog post on Alvarez Quant Trading for 12/11/2020

Read the new post on Alvarez Quant Trading, Using Probability Cones to Test for Strategy Death.

The most common question I get is how do you determine that a strategy is no longer working. It is also the question that I don’t have a good answer for. I have written several posts about this: Trading the Equity Curve, How to turn off a strategy using historical volatility, Broken Strategy or Market Change. During a recent presentation I attended, the presenter discusses how he uses probability cones to determine when to stop trading a strategy. I had not investigated this concept and was very intrigued.


Click here for the spreadsheet.


Good Quant Trading,
Cesar

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